Evaluation of Swedish market transformation programmes

Lena Neij, Department of Energy and Environmental Energy Systems Studies, Lund University

Abstract

The introduction of market transformation programmes has raised issues concerning programme evaluation and several analysts have stressed the importance of the development of new evaluation methods suited for market transformation programmes. This paper presents methods for the evaluation of market transformation programmes discussed in the literature. These methods have then been used to retrospectively analyse the evaluations of the Swedish market transformation programmes undertaken by the Department of Energy Efficiency at NUTEK. It is shown that several evaluations of the Swedish market transformation programme are based on monitoring market transformation indicators - as proposed in the literature. Furthermore, the Swedish market transformation programmes have applied indicators that describe, in accordance with suggestions in the literature, technology development, market development, and changes in market actors’ behaviour. Furthermore, the results of the evaluations indicate that the Swedish market transformation programmes have succeeded in establishing changes in the market. However, the evaluations of the Swedish market transformation programmes could improve if market transformation indicators were used in a more defined way to thoroughly analyse the elimination of market barriers, the reduction of transaction costs, and achieved energy savings.