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Towards a 60% reduction in UK transport carbon dioxide emissions: a scenario building and backcasting approach

Robin Hickman, Halcrow Group Ltd
David Banister, University College London

Keywords

transport emissions, carbon dioxide, scenario building, backcasting

Abstract

This paper examines the possibilities of reducing transport carbon dioxide emissions in the UK by 60% by 2030 using a scenario building and backcasting approach. It draws on the VIBAT project, which examines Visioning and Backcasting for UK Transport Policy, and examines a range of policy measures (technological and behavioural), assessing how they can be effectively combined to achieve the required level of emissions reduction. The intention is to evaluate whether such an ambitious target is feasible, identify the main problems (including the transition costs), and the main decision points over the 30-year time horizon.

Paper

Download this paper as pdf: 3293Hickman.fm.pdf

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