Transforming UK non-residential buildings: achieving a 60 % cut in CO2 emissions by 2050

Russell Layberry and Mark Hinnells, Lower Carbon Futures Team, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University Centre for the Environment, United Kingdom

Keywords

non-domestic, building, energy, modelling, scenario

Abstract

This paper describes the development of a model to explore the energy and carbon intensity of the UK stock of non-domestic buildings from 2004 to 2050 under a range of scenarios. The model takes as its input a model of the UK non-domestic building stock as expressed in 55 different building types classed by activity and the energy intensity of the building classes as expressed by 8 types of energy end use. The paper discusses the data sources, the modelling framework and indicates how a 60 % reduction can be achieved by 2050. The work has been performed for the Building Market Transformation (BMT) program under the Carbon Vision Buildings (CVB) theme sponsored by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council EPSCR) and the Carbon Trust.