Just one country on course to meet 1.5°C target, new research warns

(EurActiv, 15 Sep 2021) Only Gambia is currently on course to deliver climate action that is in alignment with the 1.5°C pathway of the Paris Agreement, according to new research from Climate Action Tracker (CAT), which warns that momentum on updating climate targets has stalled. EURACTIV’s media partner, edie.net, reports.

CAT has today (15 September) launched a new methodology to rate national approaches to climate action. Observing trends such as domestic target, policies and action, fair share, climate mitigation finance and land use and forestry, it found that just one country, Gambia, is on course for a 1.5°C transition.

Another seven nations are classed as “nearly sufficient”, including the UK, with CAT stating that these nations could reach the 1.5°C threshold with “moderate improvements”. CAT claims that the UK’s domestic net-zero strategy is compatible, but it is being hindered by policies.

The research also found that momentum on updating targets to 2030 on climate action has stalled since May this year, with no major emitter or economy putting forward new targets.

CAT estimates that current efforts will see emissions today be roughly the same as in 2030 – the year where it is recommended that emissions are halved. As such, the world is on track to be emitting twice as much as required by the 1.5°C limit.

“In May, after the Climate Leaders’ Summit and the Petersburg dialogue, we reported that there appeared to be good momentum with new climate action commitments, but governments then had only closed the emissions gap by up to 14%,” NewClimate Institute’s Niklas Höhne commented.

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EurActiv, 15 Sep 2021: Just one country on course to meet 1.5°C target, new research warns